What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Nigeria

(xG) 1.67 - 0.83

Tanzania

Mathematical Predictions: Nigeria vs Tanzania

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 54.38% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Home Win

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Nigeria Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Nigeria
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Tanzania Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Tanzania
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Nigeria vs Tanzania

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

2026-11-13T18:00:00

Godswill Akpabio International Stadium

In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Nigeria scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared to Tanzania 1.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Nigeria scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 1.00, whereas Tanzania scored 1.00 and conceded 1.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Nigeria vs Tanzania match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.67 for Nigeria and 0.83 for Tanzania. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.38%.

H2H - Nigeria vs. Tanzania

13 Nov 26

Nigeria

(HT -)

Tanzania

23 Dec 25

Nigeria

2 - 1

(HT 1-0)

Tanzania

Team Form (Last 6)

Nigeria

26 May vs Zimbabwe 2-0

30 May @ Jamaica 0-3

03 Jun @ Poland 2-2

10 Jun @ Portugal 2-1

25 Sep vs Madagascar 2-1

29 Sep @ Guinea-Bissau 3-0

Tanzania

23 Dec @ Nigeria 2-1

27 Dec @ Uganda 1-1

30 Dec vs Tunisia 1-1

04 Jan @ Morocco 1-0

25 Sep vs Guinea-Bissau 0-2

29 Sep @ Madagascar 1-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.